Argentina

Argentina holds a World Football Elo rating of 2115, ranking #2 of 244 national teams — one of the strongest national teams in world football. At the 2026 World Cup, Argentina is drawn in Group J, facing Algeria, Austria and Jordan. The tables below estimate Argentina's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Elo rating
2115
World rank
#2
of
244

Argentina at the 2026 World Cup

Group J fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

KickoffOpponentWinDrawLossVenue
06-16Algeria78.8%17.9%3.2%Kansas City (neutral)
06-22Austria73.4%20.8%5.8%Dallas (neutral)
06-27Jordan85.7%13.4%0.9%Dallas (neutral)

Argentina vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

OpponentEloWinDrawLoss
Spain212933.5%29.0%37.5%
France206343.1%28.7%28.2%
England202448.8%28.0%23.2%
Portugal198953.8%27.2%19.0%
Colombia198254.8%27.0%18.3%
Brazil197855.3%26.9%17.8%
Netherlands194459.9%25.7%14.3%
Germany193960.6%25.6%13.9%
Norway191463.8%24.6%11.6%
Croatia191264.0%24.5%11.5%
Japan191064.3%24.4%11.3%
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Argentina vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Argentina in the rankings.

OpponentEloWinDrawLoss
Spain212933.5%29.0%37.5%
France206343.1%28.7%28.2%
England202448.8%28.0%23.2%
Portugal198953.8%27.2%19.0%
Colombia198254.8%27.0%18.3%
Brazil197855.3%26.9%17.8%
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Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.

21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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