England

England holds a World Football Elo rating of 2024, ranking #4 of 244 national teams — one of the strongest national teams in world football. At the 2026 World Cup, England is drawn in Group L, facing Croatia, Ghana and Panama. The tables below estimate England's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

England at the 2026 World Cup

Group L fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-17	Croatia	51.8%	27.6%	20.6%	Dallas (neutral)
06-23	Ghana	90.1%	9.9%	0.0%	Boston (neutral)
06-27	Panama	74.3%	20.4%	5.4%	New York (neutral)

England vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	21.5%	27.7%	50.8%
Argentina	2115	23.2%	28.0%	48.8%
France	2063	30.0%	28.8%	41.2%
Portugal	1989	40.6%	28.9%	30.6%
Colombia	1982	41.6%	28.8%	29.6%
Brazil	1978	42.2%	28.8%	29.0%
Netherlands	1944	47.2%	28.3%	24.6%
Germany	1939	47.9%	28.2%	23.9%
Norway	1914	51.5%	27.6%	20.9%
Croatia	1912	51.8%	27.6%	20.6%
Japan	1910	52.1%	27.5%	20.4%

England vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near England in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	21.5%	27.7%	50.8%
Argentina	2115	23.2%	28.0%	48.8%
France	2063	30.0%	28.8%	41.2%
Portugal	1989	40.6%	28.9%	30.6%
Colombia	1982	41.6%	28.8%	29.6%
Brazil	1978	42.2%	28.8%	29.0%
Netherlands	1944	47.2%	28.3%	24.6%
Germany	1939	47.9%	28.2%	23.9%