Portugal

Portugal holds a World Football Elo rating of 1989, ranking #5 of 244 national teams — one of the strongest national teams in world football. At the 2026 World Cup, Portugal is drawn in Group K, facing DR Congo, Uzbekistan and Colombia. The tables below estimate Portugal's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Portugal at the 2026 World Cup

Group K fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-17	DR Congo	78.3%	18.2%	3.4%	Houston (neutral)
06-23	Uzbekistan	72.3%	21.3%	6.4%	Houston (neutral)
06-27	Colombia	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%	Miami (neutral)

Portugal vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	17.5%	26.8%	55.7%
Argentina	2115	19.0%	27.2%	53.8%
France	2063	25.3%	28.4%	46.3%
England	2024	30.6%	28.9%	40.6%
Colombia	1982	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Brazil	1978	37.1%	29.0%	33.9%
Netherlands	1944	42.1%	28.8%	29.2%
Germany	1939	42.8%	28.7%	28.5%
Norway	1914	46.5%	28.3%	25.2%
Croatia	1912	46.7%	28.3%	24.9%
Japan	1910	47.0%	28.3%	24.7%

Portugal vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Portugal in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	17.5%	26.8%	55.7%
Argentina	2115	19.0%	27.2%	53.8%
France	2063	25.3%	28.4%	46.3%
England	2024	30.6%	28.9%	40.6%
Colombia	1982	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Brazil	1978	37.1%	29.0%	33.9%
Netherlands	1944	42.1%	28.8%	29.2%
Germany	1939	42.8%	28.7%	28.5%
Norway	1914	46.5%	28.3%	25.2%