Croatia

Croatia holds a World Football Elo rating of 1912, ranking #11 of 244 national teams — a top-tier side and a genuine World Cup contender. At the 2026 World Cup, Croatia is drawn in Group L, facing England, Panama and Ghana. The tables below estimate Croatia's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Croatia at the 2026 World Cup

Group L fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-17	England	20.6%	27.6%	51.8%	Dallas (neutral)
06-23	Panama	61.4%	25.3%	13.3%	Toronto (neutral)
06-27	Ghana	83.5%	15.0%	1.5%	Philadelphia (neutral)

Croatia vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	10.3%	23.9%	65.8%
Argentina	2115	11.5%	24.5%	64.0%
France	2063	16.3%	26.4%	57.2%
England	2024	20.6%	27.6%	51.8%
Portugal	1989	24.9%	28.3%	46.7%
Colombia	1982	25.8%	28.4%	45.7%
Brazil	1978	26.4%	28.5%	45.1%
Netherlands	1944	31.0%	28.9%	40.2%
Germany	1939	31.7%	28.9%	39.4%
Norway	1914	35.2%	29.0%	35.8%
Japan	1910	35.8%	29.0%	35.2%

Croatia vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Croatia in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Colombia	1982	25.8%	28.4%	45.7%
Brazil	1978	26.4%	28.5%	45.1%
Netherlands	1944	31.0%	28.9%	40.2%
Germany	1939	31.7%	28.9%	39.4%
Norway	1914	35.2%	29.0%	35.8%
Japan	1910	35.8%	29.0%	35.2%
Ecuador	1890	38.7%	28.9%	32.4%
Mexico	1881	40.0%	28.9%	31.1%
Belgium	1879	40.3%	28.9%	30.8%
Uruguay	1870	41.6%	28.8%	29.6%