Germany

Germany holds a World Football Elo rating of 1939, ranking #9 of 244 national teams — a top-tier side and a genuine World Cup contender. At the 2026 World Cup, Germany is drawn in Group E, facing Curaçao, Ivory Coast and Ecuador. The tables below estimate Germany's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Germany at the 2026 World Cup

Group E fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-14	Curaçao	90.0%	9.9%	0.0%	Houston (neutral)
06-20	Ivory Coast	63.2%	24.8%	12.1%	Toronto (neutral)
06-25	Ecuador	42.6%	28.7%	28.6%	New York (neutral)

Germany vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	12.6%	25.0%	62.4%
Argentina	2115	13.9%	25.6%	60.6%
France	2063	19.3%	27.2%	53.5%
England	2024	23.9%	28.2%	47.9%
Portugal	1989	28.5%	28.7%	42.8%
Colombia	1982	29.5%	28.8%	41.8%
Brazil	1978	30.0%	28.8%	41.2%
Netherlands	1944	34.8%	29.0%	36.2%
Norway	1914	39.1%	28.9%	31.9%
Croatia	1912	39.4%	28.9%	31.7%
Japan	1910	39.7%	28.9%	31.4%

Germany vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Germany in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
England	2024	23.9%	28.2%	47.9%
Portugal	1989	28.5%	28.7%	42.8%
Colombia	1982	29.5%	28.8%	41.8%
Brazil	1978	30.0%	28.8%	41.2%
Netherlands	1944	34.8%	29.0%	36.2%
Norway	1914	39.1%	28.9%	31.9%
Croatia	1912	39.4%	28.9%	31.7%
Japan	1910	39.7%	28.9%	31.4%
Ecuador	1890	42.6%	28.7%	28.6%
Mexico	1881	44.0%	28.6%	27.4%