Curaçao

Curaçao holds a World Football Elo rating of 1427, ranking #94 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. At the 2026 World Cup, Curaçao is drawn in Group E, facing Germany, Ecuador and Ivory Coast. The tables below estimate Curaçao's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Curaçao at the 2026 World Cup

Group E fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-14	Germany	0.0%	9.9%	90.0%	Houston (neutral)
06-20	Ecuador	0.5%	12.1%	87.4%	Kansas City (neutral)
06-25	Ivory Coast	4.3%	19.3%	76.4%	Philadelphia (neutral)

Curaçao vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	3.5%	96.5%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	3.7%	96.3%
France	2063	0.0%	5.0%	95.0%
England	2024	0.0%	6.2%	93.8%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	7.6%	92.4%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	7.9%	92.1%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	8.0%	92.0%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	9.7%	90.3%
Germany	1939	0.0%	9.9%	90.0%
Norway	1914	0.2%	11.0%	88.8%
Croatia	1912	0.2%	11.1%	88.7%
Japan	1910	0.2%	11.2%	88.6%

Curaçao vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Curaçao in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Luxembourg	1450	32.2%	28.9%	38.8%
Qatar	1447	32.6%	29.0%	38.4%
Northern Cyprus	1442	33.4%	29.0%	37.7%
Suriname	1431	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%
Kazakhstan	1428	35.4%	29.0%	35.6%
China	1424	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%
Kurdistan	1424	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%
Libya	1420	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Gambia	1419	36.7%	29.0%	34.4%
Bahrain	1414	37.4%	29.0%	33.6%