China

China holds a World Football Elo rating of 1424, ranking #95 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. China is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate China's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

China vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	3.4%	96.6%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	3.7%	96.3%
France	2063	0.0%	4.9%	95.1%
England	2024	0.0%	6.1%	93.9%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	7.4%	92.6%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	7.7%	92.3%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	7.9%	92.1%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	9.5%	90.5%
Germany	1939	0.0%	9.8%	90.2%
Norway	1914	0.2%	10.9%	88.9%
Croatia	1912	0.2%	11.0%	88.8%
Japan	1910	0.2%	11.1%	88.7%

China vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near China in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Qatar	1447	32.2%	28.9%	38.8%
Northern Cyprus	1442	32.9%	29.0%	38.1%
Suriname	1431	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
Kazakhstan	1428	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%
Curaçao	1427	35.1%	29.0%	35.9%
Kurdistan	1424	35.5%	29.0%	35.5%
Libya	1420	36.1%	29.0%	34.9%
Gambia	1419	36.2%	29.0%	34.8%
Bahrain	1414	36.9%	29.0%	34.1%
Benin	1405	38.3%	29.0%	32.8%