Qatar

Qatar holds a World Football Elo rating of 1447, ranking #90 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. At the 2026 World Cup, Qatar is drawn in Group B, facing Switzerland, Canada and Bosnia and Herzegovina. The tables below estimate Qatar's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Qatar at the 2026 World Cup

Group B fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-13	Switzerland	1.2%	14.2%	84.6%	San Francisco (neutral)
06-18	Canada	1.1%	14.1%	84.8%	Vancouver (Canada home)
06-24	Bosnia and Herzegovina	14.5%	25.8%	59.7%	Seattle (neutral)

Qatar vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	3.9%	96.1%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	4.2%	95.8%
France	2063	0.0%	5.6%	94.4%
England	2024	0.0%	7.0%	93.0%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	8.5%	91.5%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	8.8%	91.2%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	9.0%	91.0%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	10.6%	89.3%
Germany	1939	0.2%	10.8%	89.0%
Norway	1914	0.4%	11.9%	87.7%
Croatia	1912	0.4%	12.0%	87.6%
Japan	1910	0.5%	12.1%	87.4%

Qatar vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Qatar in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Palestine	1465	32.9%	29.0%	38.1%
Guinea	1463	33.2%	29.0%	37.8%
Montenegro	1461	33.5%	29.0%	37.5%
Bulgaria	1458	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Luxembourg	1450	35.1%	29.0%	35.9%
Northern Cyprus	1442	36.2%	29.0%	34.8%
Suriname	1431	37.8%	29.0%	33.2%
Kazakhstan	1428	38.3%	29.0%	32.8%
Curaçao	1427	38.4%	29.0%	32.6%
China	1424	38.8%	28.9%	32.2%