Switzerland

Switzerland holds a World Football Elo rating of 1865, ranking #19 of 244 national teams — a strong national team. At the 2026 World Cup, Switzerland is drawn in Group B, facing Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Canada. The tables below estimate Switzerland's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Elo rating
1865
World rank
#19
of
244

Switzerland at the 2026 World Cup

Group B fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

KickoffOpponentWinDrawLossVenue
06-13Qatar84.6%14.2%1.2%San Francisco (neutral)
06-18Bosnia and Herzegovina69.5%22.5%8.0%Los Angeles (neutral)
06-24Canada35.2%29.0%35.8%Vancouver (Canada home)

Switzerland vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

OpponentEloWinDrawLoss
Spain21297.0%21.8%71.1%
Argentina21157.9%22.5%69.6%
France206311.9%24.7%63.4%
England202415.5%26.2%58.3%
Portugal198919.3%27.2%53.5%
Colombia198220.1%27.4%52.5%
Brazil197820.5%27.5%51.9%
Netherlands194424.7%28.3%47.0%
Germany193925.3%28.4%46.3%
Norway191428.6%28.7%42.6%
Croatia191228.9%28.7%42.4%
Japan191029.2%28.8%42.1%
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Switzerland vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Switzerland in the rankings.

OpponentEloWinDrawLoss
Mexico188133.2%29.0%37.8%
Belgium187933.5%29.0%37.5%
Uruguay187034.8%29.0%36.2%
Denmark186934.9%29.0%36.1%
Italy186934.9%29.0%36.1%
Senegal186036.2%29.0%34.8%
Turkey184937.8%29.0%33.2%
Morocco184039.1%28.9%31.9%
Australia183939.3%28.9%31.8%
Austria183040.6%28.9%30.6%
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Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.

21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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