Switzerland holds a World Football Elo rating of 1865, ranking #19 of 244 national teams — a strong national team. At the 2026 World Cup, Switzerland is drawn in Group B, facing Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Canada. The tables below estimate Switzerland's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.
Group B fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.
| Kickoff | Opponent | Win | Draw | Loss | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 | Qatar | 84.6% | 14.2% | 1.2% | San Francisco (neutral) |
| 06-18 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 69.5% | 22.5% | 8.0% | Los Angeles (neutral) |
| 06-24 | Canada | 35.2% | 29.0% | 35.8% | Vancouver (Canada home) |
Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2129 | 7.0% | 21.8% | 71.1% |
| Argentina | 2115 | 7.9% | 22.5% | 69.6% |
| France | 2063 | 11.9% | 24.7% | 63.4% |
| England | 2024 | 15.5% | 26.2% | 58.3% |
| Portugal | 1989 | 19.3% | 27.2% | 53.5% |
| Colombia | 1982 | 20.1% | 27.4% | 52.5% |
| Brazil | 1978 | 20.5% | 27.5% | 51.9% |
| Netherlands | 1944 | 24.7% | 28.3% | 47.0% |
| Germany | 1939 | 25.3% | 28.4% | 46.3% |
| Norway | 1914 | 28.6% | 28.7% | 42.6% |
| Croatia | 1912 | 28.9% | 28.7% | 42.4% |
| Japan | 1910 | 29.2% | 28.8% | 42.1% |
Closely-matched opponents near Switzerland in the rankings.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1881 | 33.2% | 29.0% | 37.8% |
| Belgium | 1879 | 33.5% | 29.0% | 37.5% |
| Uruguay | 1870 | 34.8% | 29.0% | 36.2% |
| Denmark | 1869 | 34.9% | 29.0% | 36.1% |
| Italy | 1869 | 34.9% | 29.0% | 36.1% |
| Senegal | 1860 | 36.2% | 29.0% | 34.8% |
| Turkey | 1849 | 37.8% | 29.0% | 33.2% |
| Morocco | 1840 | 39.1% | 28.9% | 31.9% |
| Australia | 1839 | 39.3% | 28.9% | 31.8% |
| Austria | 1830 | 40.6% | 28.9% | 30.6% |
Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.
21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
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