Bosnia and Herzegovina holds a World Football Elo rating of 1616, ranking #59 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. At the 2026 World Cup, Bosnia and Herzegovina is drawn in Group B, facing Canada, Switzerland and Qatar. The tables below estimate Bosnia and Herzegovina's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.
Group B fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.
| Kickoff | Opponent | Win | Draw | Loss | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 | Canada | 7.9% | 22.4% | 69.7% | Toronto (Canada home) |
| 06-18 | Switzerland | 8.0% | 22.5% | 69.5% | Los Angeles (neutral) |
| 06-24 | Qatar | 59.7% | 25.8% | 14.5% | Seattle (neutral) |
Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2129 | 0.0% | 9.9% | 90.1% |
| Argentina | 2115 | 0.1% | 10.5% | 89.4% |
| France | 2063 | 0.7% | 12.8% | 86.5% |
| England | 2024 | 1.4% | 14.7% | 83.9% |
| Portugal | 1989 | 2.2% | 16.4% | 81.3% |
| Colombia | 1982 | 2.5% | 16.8% | 80.8% |
| Brazil | 1978 | 2.6% | 17.0% | 80.4% |
| Netherlands | 1944 | 3.8% | 18.7% | 77.5% |
| Germany | 1939 | 4.0% | 18.9% | 77.1% |
| Norway | 1914 | 5.2% | 20.2% | 74.7% |
| Croatia | 1912 | 5.3% | 20.3% | 74.5% |
| Japan | 1910 | 5.4% | 20.4% | 74.3% |
Closely-matched opponents near Bosnia and Herzegovina in the rankings.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 1654 | 30.1% | 28.8% | 41.0% |
| DR Congo | 1652 | 30.4% | 28.8% | 40.7% |
| Israel | 1647 | 31.1% | 28.9% | 40.0% |
| Romania | 1639 | 32.2% | 28.9% | 38.8% |
| Bolivia | 1621 | 34.8% | 29.0% | 36.2% |
| Albania | 1616 | 35.5% | 29.0% | 35.5% |
| Cameroon | 1614 | 35.8% | 29.0% | 35.2% |
| Costa Rica | 1608 | 36.7% | 29.0% | 34.4% |
| Iraq | 1607 | 36.8% | 29.0% | 34.2% |
| Cape Verde | 1606 | 36.9% | 29.0% | 34.1% |
Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.
21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
We use cookies for advertising and to remember your preferences. See our Privacy Policy.