Cape Verde holds a World Football Elo rating of 1606, ranking #64 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. At the 2026 World Cup, Cape Verde is drawn in Group H, facing Spain, Uruguay and Saudi Arabia. The tables below estimate Cape Verde's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.
Group H fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.
| Kickoff | Opponent | Win | Draw | Loss | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 | Spain | 0.0% | 9.4% | 90.6% | Atlanta (neutral) |
| 06-21 | Uruguay | 7.0% | 21.8% | 71.1% | Miami (neutral) |
| 06-26 | Saudi Arabia | 36.7% | 29.0% | 34.4% | Houston (neutral) |
Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2129 | 0.0% | 9.4% | 90.6% |
| Argentina | 2115 | 0.0% | 10.1% | 89.9% |
| France | 2063 | 0.5% | 12.4% | 87.1% |
| England | 2024 | 1.2% | 14.2% | 84.6% |
| Portugal | 1989 | 2.0% | 15.9% | 82.1% |
| Colombia | 1982 | 2.2% | 16.3% | 81.6% |
| Brazil | 1978 | 2.3% | 16.5% | 81.2% |
| Netherlands | 1944 | 3.4% | 18.2% | 78.4% |
| Germany | 1939 | 3.6% | 18.4% | 78.0% |
| Norway | 1914 | 4.7% | 19.7% | 75.6% |
| Croatia | 1912 | 4.8% | 19.8% | 75.4% |
| Japan | 1910 | 4.9% | 19.9% | 75.3% |
Closely-matched opponents near Cape Verde in the rankings.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1616 | 34.1% | 29.0% | 36.9% |
| Albania | 1616 | 34.1% | 29.0% | 36.9% |
| Cameroon | 1614 | 34.4% | 29.0% | 36.7% |
| Costa Rica | 1608 | 35.2% | 29.0% | 35.8% |
| Iraq | 1607 | 35.4% | 29.0% | 35.6% |
| Northern Ireland | 1605 | 35.6% | 29.0% | 35.4% |
| Saudi Arabia | 1598 | 36.7% | 29.0% | 34.4% |
| North Macedonia | 1589 | 38.0% | 29.0% | 33.1% |
| Mali | 1588 | 38.1% | 29.0% | 32.9% |
| Tunisia | 1585 | 38.5% | 28.9% | 32.5% |
Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.
21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
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