Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland holds a World Football Elo rating of 1605, ranking #65 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. Northern Ireland is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Northern Ireland's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Northern Ireland vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	9.3%	90.7%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	10.0%	89.9%
France	2063	0.5%	12.3%	87.2%
England	2024	1.1%	14.2%	84.7%
Portugal	1989	1.9%	15.9%	82.2%
Colombia	1982	2.1%	16.2%	81.6%
Brazil	1978	2.2%	16.4%	81.3%
Netherlands	1944	3.4%	18.1%	78.5%
Germany	1939	3.6%	18.4%	78.0%
Norway	1914	4.6%	19.6%	75.7%
Croatia	1912	4.7%	19.7%	75.5%
Japan	1910	4.8%	19.8%	75.3%

Northern Ireland vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Northern Ireland in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Albania	1616	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Cameroon	1614	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Costa Rica	1608	35.1%	29.0%	35.9%
Iraq	1607	35.2%	29.0%	35.8%
Cape Verde	1606	35.4%	29.0%	35.6%
Saudi Arabia	1598	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
North Macedonia	1589	37.8%	29.0%	33.2%
Mali	1588	38.0%	29.0%	33.1%
Tunisia	1585	38.4%	29.0%	32.6%
New Zealand	1578	39.4%	28.9%	31.7%