Tunisia

Tunisia holds a World Football Elo rating of 1585, ranking #69 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. At the 2026 World Cup, Tunisia is drawn in Group F, facing Sweden, Japan and Netherlands. The tables below estimate Tunisia's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Tunisia at the 2026 World Cup

Group F fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-14	Sweden	14.4%	25.8%	59.8%	Monterrey (neutral)
06-20	Japan	3.9%	18.8%	77.2%	Monterrey (neutral)
06-25	Netherlands	2.7%	17.1%	80.2%	Kansas City (neutral)

Tunisia vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	8.4%	91.6%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	9.0%	91.0%
France	2063	0.3%	11.4%	88.3%
England	2024	0.8%	13.2%	86.0%
Portugal	1989	1.5%	14.9%	83.6%
Colombia	1982	1.6%	15.2%	83.1%
Brazil	1978	1.7%	15.4%	82.9%
Netherlands	1944	2.7%	17.1%	80.2%
Germany	1939	2.8%	17.4%	79.8%
Norway	1914	3.8%	18.6%	77.6%
Croatia	1912	3.8%	18.7%	77.4%
Japan	1910	3.9%	18.8%	77.2%

Tunisia vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Tunisia in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Cape Verde	1606	32.5%	28.9%	38.5%
Northern Ireland	1605	32.6%	29.0%	38.4%
Saudi Arabia	1598	33.6%	29.0%	37.4%
North Macedonia	1589	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%
Mali	1588	35.1%	29.0%	35.9%
New Zealand	1578	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Honduras	1570	37.7%	29.0%	33.4%
Iceland	1568	38.0%	29.0%	33.1%
Angola	1542	41.8%	28.8%	29.5%
United Arab Emirates	1540	42.1%	28.8%	29.2%