Iraq

Iraq holds a World Football Elo rating of 1607, ranking #63 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. At the 2026 World Cup, Iraq is drawn in Group I, facing Norway, France and Senegal. The tables below estimate Iraq's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Iraq at the 2026 World Cup

Group I fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-16	Norway	4.7%	19.7%	75.5%	Boston (neutral)
06-22	France	0.5%	12.4%	87.0%	Philadelphia (neutral)
06-26	Senegal	7.7%	22.3%	69.9%	Toronto (neutral)

Iraq vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	9.4%	90.6%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	10.1%	89.8%
France	2063	0.5%	12.4%	87.0%
England	2024	1.2%	14.3%	84.6%
Portugal	1989	2.0%	16.0%	82.0%
Colombia	1982	2.2%	16.3%	81.5%
Brazil	1978	2.3%	16.5%	81.2%
Netherlands	1944	3.4%	18.2%	78.3%
Germany	1939	3.6%	18.5%	77.9%
Norway	1914	4.7%	19.7%	75.5%
Croatia	1912	4.8%	19.8%	75.3%
Japan	1910	4.9%	19.9%	75.2%

Iraq vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Iraq in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Bolivia	1621	33.5%	29.0%	37.5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	1616	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Albania	1616	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Cameroon	1614	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
Costa Rica	1608	35.4%	29.0%	35.6%
Cape Verde	1606	35.6%	29.0%	35.4%
Northern Ireland	1605	35.8%	29.0%	35.2%
Saudi Arabia	1598	36.8%	29.0%	34.2%
North Macedonia	1589	38.1%	29.0%	32.9%
Mali	1588	38.3%	29.0%	32.8%