Panama

Panama holds a World Football Elo rating of 1730, ranking #40 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. At the 2026 World Cup, Panama is drawn in Group L, facing Ghana, Croatia and England. The tables below estimate Panama's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Panama at the 2026 World Cup

Group L fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-17	Ghana	66.1%	23.8%	10.1%	Toronto (neutral)
06-23	Croatia	13.3%	25.3%	61.4%	Toronto (neutral)
06-27	England	5.4%	20.4%	74.3%	New York (neutral)

Panama vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	1.6%	15.1%	83.3%
Argentina	2115	1.9%	15.8%	82.3%
France	2063	3.6%	18.4%	78.0%
England	2024	5.4%	20.4%	74.3%
Portugal	1989	7.4%	22.1%	70.6%
Colombia	1982	7.8%	22.4%	69.8%
Brazil	1978	8.1%	22.6%	69.4%
Netherlands	1944	10.6%	24.1%	65.4%
Germany	1939	11.0%	24.3%	64.8%
Norway	1914	13.1%	25.3%	61.6%
Croatia	1912	13.3%	25.3%	61.4%
Japan	1910	13.5%	25.4%	61.1%

Panama vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Panama in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Sweden	1755	31.9%	28.9%	39.1%
Greece	1744	33.5%	29.0%	37.5%
Ivory Coast	1743	33.6%	29.0%	37.4%
Serbia	1734	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%
Venezuela	1733	35.1%	29.0%	35.9%
Chile	1717	37.4%	29.0%	33.6%
Kosovo	1715	37.7%	29.0%	33.4%
Uzbekistan	1714	37.8%	29.0%	33.2%
Czechia	1712	38.1%	29.0%	32.9%
Egypt	1711	38.3%	29.0%	32.8%