Ghana holds a World Football Elo rating of 1510, ranking #81 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. At the 2026 World Cup, Ghana is drawn in Group L, facing Panama, England and Croatia. The tables below estimate Ghana's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.
Group L fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.
| Kickoff | Opponent | Win | Draw | Loss | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 | Panama | 10.1% | 23.8% | 66.1% | Toronto (neutral) |
| 06-23 | England | 0.0% | 9.9% | 90.1% | Boston (neutral) |
| 06-27 | Croatia | 1.5% | 15.0% | 83.5% | Philadelphia (neutral) |
Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2129 | 0.0% | 5.5% | 94.5% |
| Argentina | 2115 | 0.0% | 6.0% | 94.0% |
| France | 2063 | 0.0% | 8.0% | 92.0% |
| England | 2024 | 0.0% | 9.9% | 90.1% |
| Portugal | 1989 | 0.3% | 11.4% | 88.3% |
| Colombia | 1982 | 0.4% | 11.7% | 88.0% |
| Brazil | 1978 | 0.4% | 11.9% | 87.7% |
| Netherlands | 1944 | 0.9% | 13.4% | 85.7% |
| Germany | 1939 | 1.0% | 13.7% | 85.4% |
| Norway | 1914 | 1.5% | 14.9% | 83.6% |
| Croatia | 1912 | 1.5% | 15.0% | 83.5% |
| Japan | 1910 | 1.5% | 15.1% | 83.4% |
Closely-matched opponents near Ghana in the rankings.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti | 1536 | 31.8% | 28.9% | 39.3% |
| Burkina Faso | 1529 | 32.8% | 29.0% | 38.3% |
| Jamaica | 1527 | 33.1% | 29.0% | 38.0% |
| Belarus | 1522 | 33.8% | 29.0% | 37.2% |
| South Africa | 1511 | 35.4% | 29.0% | 35.6% |
| Guatemala | 1504 | 36.4% | 29.0% | 34.6% |
| Oman | 1480 | 39.9% | 28.9% | 31.2% |
| Syria | 1479 | 40.0% | 28.9% | 31.1% |
| Palestine | 1465 | 42.1% | 28.8% | 29.2% |
| Guinea | 1463 | 42.4% | 28.7% | 28.9% |
Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.
21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
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