South Africa

South Africa holds a World Football Elo rating of 1511, ranking #80 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. At the 2026 World Cup, South Africa is drawn in Group A, facing Mexico, Czechia and South Korea. The tables below estimate South Africa's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

South Africa at the 2026 World Cup

Group A fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-11	Mexico	0.4%	11.8%	87.8%	Mexico City (Mexico home)
06-18	Czechia	11.6%	24.6%	63.8%	Atlanta (neutral)
06-24	South Korea	6.4%	21.3%	72.3%	Monterrey (neutral)

South Africa vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	5.5%	94.5%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	6.0%	94.0%
France	2063	0.0%	8.0%	92.0%
England	2024	0.0%	9.9%	90.1%
Portugal	1989	0.3%	11.4%	88.3%
Colombia	1982	0.4%	11.7%	87.9%
Brazil	1978	0.4%	11.9%	87.7%
Netherlands	1944	0.9%	13.5%	85.6%
Germany	1939	1.0%	13.7%	85.3%
Norway	1914	1.5%	14.9%	83.6%
Croatia	1912	1.5%	15.0%	83.4%
Japan	1910	1.6%	15.1%	83.3%

South Africa vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near South Africa in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Finland	1536	31.9%	28.9%	39.1%
Haiti	1536	31.9%	28.9%	39.1%
Burkina Faso	1529	32.9%	29.0%	38.1%
Jamaica	1527	33.2%	29.0%	37.8%
Belarus	1522	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Ghana	1510	35.6%	29.0%	35.4%
Guatemala	1504	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Oman	1480	40.0%	28.9%	31.1%
Syria	1479	40.2%	28.9%	31.0%
Palestine	1465	42.2%	28.8%	29.0%