South Korea

South Korea holds a World Football Elo rating of 1786, ranking #26 of 244 national teams — a strong national team. At the 2026 World Cup, South Korea is drawn in Group A, facing Czechia, Mexico and South Africa. The tables below estimate South Korea's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

South Korea at the 2026 World Cup

Group A fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.

Kickoff	Opponent	Win	Draw	Loss	Venue
06-11	Czechia	46.3%	28.4%	25.3%	Guadalajara (neutral)
06-18	Mexico	12.1%	24.8%	63.0%	Guadalajara (Mexico home)
06-24	South Africa	72.3%	21.3%	6.4%	Monterrey (neutral)

South Korea vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	3.2%	17.9%	78.8%
Argentina	2115	3.8%	18.6%	77.6%
France	2063	6.3%	21.2%	72.5%
England	2024	8.8%	23.0%	68.2%
Portugal	1989	11.5%	24.5%	64.0%
Colombia	1982	12.1%	24.8%	63.2%
Brazil	1978	12.4%	24.9%	62.6%
Netherlands	1944	15.6%	26.2%	58.2%
Germany	1939	16.1%	26.4%	57.5%
Norway	1914	18.8%	27.1%	54.1%
Croatia	1912	19.0%	27.2%	53.8%
Japan	1910	19.3%	27.2%	53.5%

South Korea vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near South Korea in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Turkey	1849	26.8%	28.5%	44.7%
Morocco	1840	28.0%	28.7%	43.4%
Australia	1839	28.1%	28.7%	43.2%
Austria	1830	29.3%	28.8%	41.9%
Scotland	1794	34.4%	29.0%	36.7%
Paraguay	1780	36.4%	29.0%	34.6%
Ukraine	1780	36.4%	29.0%	34.6%
United States	1780	36.4%	29.0%	34.6%
Algeria	1772	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%
Russia	1772	37.5%	29.0%	33.5%