Czechia holds a World Football Elo rating of 1712, ranking #44 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. At the 2026 World Cup, Czechia is drawn in Group A, facing South Korea, South Africa and Mexico. The tables below estimate Czechia's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.
Group A fixtures with win/draw/loss estimates.
| Kickoff | Opponent | Win | Draw | Loss | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 | South Korea | 25.3% | 28.4% | 46.3% | Guadalajara (neutral) |
| 06-18 | South Africa | 63.8% | 24.6% | 11.6% | Atlanta (neutral) |
| 06-24 | Mexico | 6.7% | 21.6% | 71.7% | Mexico City (Mexico home) |
Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2129 | 1.2% | 14.3% | 84.6% |
| Argentina | 2115 | 1.5% | 14.9% | 83.6% |
| France | 2063 | 2.9% | 17.5% | 79.5% |
| England | 2024 | 4.5% | 19.5% | 76.0% |
| Portugal | 1989 | 6.3% | 21.2% | 72.5% |
| Colombia | 1982 | 6.7% | 21.5% | 71.8% |
| Brazil | 1978 | 6.9% | 21.7% | 71.4% |
| Netherlands | 1944 | 9.2% | 23.3% | 67.5% |
| Germany | 1939 | 9.6% | 23.5% | 66.9% |
| Norway | 1914 | 11.5% | 24.6% | 63.9% |
| Croatia | 1912 | 11.7% | 24.6% | 63.7% |
| Japan | 1910 | 11.9% | 24.7% | 63.4% |
Closely-matched opponents near Czechia in the rankings.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela | 1733 | 32.5% | 28.9% | 38.5% |
| Panama | 1730 | 32.9% | 29.0% | 38.1% |
| Chile | 1717 | 34.8% | 29.0% | 36.2% |
| Kosovo | 1715 | 35.1% | 29.0% | 35.9% |
| Uzbekistan | 1714 | 35.2% | 29.0% | 35.8% |
| Egypt | 1711 | 35.6% | 29.0% | 35.4% |
| Hungary | 1710 | 35.8% | 29.0% | 35.2% |
| Poland | 1710 | 35.8% | 29.0% | 35.2% |
| Peru | 1700 | 37.2% | 29.0% | 33.8% |
| Ireland | 1699 | 37.4% | 29.0% | 33.6% |
Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.
21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
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