Ireland

Ireland holds a World Football Elo rating of 1699, ranking #49 of 244 national teams — a solid mid-tier side. Ireland is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Ireland's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Ireland vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.9%	13.6%	85.4%
Argentina	2115	1.2%	14.3%	84.5%
France	2063	2.5%	16.9%	80.6%
England	2024	3.9%	18.8%	77.2%
Portugal	1989	5.6%	20.6%	73.9%
Colombia	1982	5.9%	20.9%	73.1%
Brazil	1978	6.2%	21.1%	72.7%
Netherlands	1944	8.3%	22.7%	69.0%
Germany	1939	8.6%	22.9%	68.5%
Norway	1914	10.5%	24.0%	65.5%
Croatia	1912	10.6%	24.1%	65.3%
Japan	1910	10.8%	24.2%	65.0%

Ireland vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Ireland in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Czechia	1712	33.6%	29.0%	37.4%
Egypt	1711	33.8%	29.0%	37.2%
Hungary	1710	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Poland	1710	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Peru	1700	35.4%	29.0%	35.6%
Wales	1682	38.0%	29.0%	33.1%
Slovenia	1682	38.0%	29.0%	33.1%
Jordan	1680	38.3%	29.0%	32.8%
Slovakia	1667	40.2%	28.9%	31.0%
Georgia	1654	42.1%	28.8%	29.2%