Eastern Samoa holds a World Football Elo rating of 369, ranking #244 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Eastern Samoa is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Eastern Samoa's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.
Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2129 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Argentina | 2115 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| France | 2063 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| England | 2024 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Portugal | 1989 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Colombia | 1982 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Brazil | 1978 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Netherlands | 1944 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Germany | 1939 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Norway | 1914 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Croatia | 1912 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Japan | 1910 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
Closely-matched opponents near Eastern Samoa in the rankings.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonga | 520 | 16.3% | 26.4% | 57.2% |
| Niue | 496 | 18.9% | 27.2% | 53.9% |
| Northern Mariana Islands | 432 | 26.8% | 28.5% | 44.7% |
| Cocos Islands | 422 | 28.1% | 28.7% | 43.2% |
| Palau | 402 | 30.8% | 28.9% | 40.3% |
Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.
21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
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