Estonia

Estonia holds a World Football Elo rating of 1360, ranking #117 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. Estonia is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Estonia's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Estonia vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	2.4%	97.6%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	2.6%	97.4%
France	2063	0.0%	3.4%	96.6%
England	2024	0.0%	4.3%	95.7%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	5.2%	94.8%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	5.4%	94.6%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	5.5%	94.5%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	6.7%	93.3%
Germany	1939	0.0%	6.9%	93.1%
Norway	1914	0.0%	7.9%	92.1%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	8.0%	92.0%
Japan	1910	0.0%	8.1%	91.9%

Estonia vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Estonia in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Armenia	1373	33.6%	29.0%	37.4%
Zimbabwe	1372	33.8%	29.0%	37.2%
Indonesia	1372	33.8%	29.0%	37.2%
Zambia	1371	33.9%	29.0%	37.1%
Kenya	1363	35.1%	29.0%	35.9%
Vietnam	1351	36.8%	29.0%	34.2%
Sudan	1350	36.9%	29.0%	34.1%
Reunion	1345	37.7%	29.0%	33.4%
El Salvador	1342	38.1%	29.0%	32.9%
Mozambique	1342	38.1%	29.0%	32.9%