Madagascar

Madagascar holds a World Football Elo rating of 1380, ranking #106 of 244 national teams — a developing national side. Madagascar is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Madagascar's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Elo rating
1380
World rank
#106
of
244

Madagascar vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

OpponentEloWinDrawLoss
Spain21290.0%2.6%97.4%
Argentina21150.0%2.9%97.1%
France20630.0%3.8%96.2%
England20240.0%4.8%95.2%
Portugal19890.0%5.8%94.2%
Colombia19820.0%6.1%93.9%
Brazil19780.0%6.2%93.8%
Netherlands19440.0%7.5%92.5%
Germany19390.0%7.7%92.3%
Norway19140.0%8.8%91.2%
Croatia19120.0%8.9%91.1%
Japan19100.0%9.0%91.0%
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Madagascar vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Madagascar in the rankings.

OpponentEloWinDrawLoss
Gabon140132.5%28.9%38.5%
Uganda139433.5%29.0%37.5%
Trinidad and Tobago138634.6%29.0%36.4%
Faroe Islands138634.6%29.0%36.4%
Niger138235.2%29.0%35.8%
Equatorial Guinea138035.5%29.0%35.5%
Togo137935.6%29.0%35.4%
Thailand137636.1%29.0%34.9%
North Korea137536.2%29.0%34.8%
Comoros137436.4%29.0%34.6%
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Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.

21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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