Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea holds a World Football Elo rating of 1135, ranking #165 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Papua New Guinea is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Papua New Guinea's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Papua New Guinea vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.1%	0.5%	99.4%
Argentina	2115	0.1%	0.6%	99.4%
France	2063	0.0%	0.9%	99.1%
England	2024	0.0%	1.2%	98.8%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	1.5%	98.5%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	1.5%	98.5%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	1.5%	98.5%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	1.9%	98.1%
Germany	1939	0.0%	1.9%	98.1%
Norway	1914	0.0%	2.2%	97.8%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	2.3%	97.7%
Japan	1910	0.0%	2.3%	97.7%

Papua New Guinea vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Papua New Guinea in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Yemen	1195	27.2%	28.6%	44.3%
Philippines	1179	29.3%	28.8%	41.9%
Tahiti	1177	29.6%	28.8%	41.6%
Eswatini	1148	33.6%	29.0%	37.4%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	1141	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%
Puerto Rico	1135	35.5%	29.0%	35.5%
Singapore	1134	35.6%	29.0%	35.4%
India	1128	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Vanuatu	1118	38.0%	29.0%	33.1%
Bermuda	1117	38.1%	29.0%	32.9%