Guinea-Bissau holds a World Football Elo rating of 1248, ranking #150 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Guinea-Bissau is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Guinea-Bissau's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.
Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2129 | 0.0% | 1.2% | 98.8% |
| Argentina | 2115 | 0.0% | 1.3% | 98.7% |
| France | 2063 | 0.0% | 1.8% | 98.2% |
| England | 2024 | 0.0% | 2.3% | 97.7% |
| Portugal | 1989 | 0.0% | 2.8% | 97.2% |
| Colombia | 1982 | 0.0% | 2.9% | 97.1% |
| Brazil | 1978 | 0.0% | 2.9% | 97.1% |
| Netherlands | 1944 | 0.0% | 3.6% | 96.4% |
| Germany | 1939 | 0.0% | 3.7% | 96.3% |
| Norway | 1914 | 0.0% | 4.2% | 95.8% |
| Croatia | 1912 | 0.0% | 4.3% | 95.7% |
| Japan | 1910 | 0.0% | 4.3% | 95.7% |
Closely-matched opponents near Guinea-Bissau in the rankings.
| Opponent | Elo | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominican Republic | 1283 | 30.6% | 28.9% | 40.6% |
| Lithuania | 1279 | 31.1% | 28.9% | 40.0% |
| Moldova | 1270 | 32.4% | 28.9% | 38.7% |
| Botswana | 1267 | 32.8% | 29.0% | 38.3% |
| Malta | 1255 | 34.5% | 29.0% | 36.5% |
| Cuba | 1239 | 36.8% | 29.0% | 34.2% |
| Malawi | 1239 | 36.8% | 29.0% | 34.2% |
| Central African Republic | 1236 | 37.2% | 29.0% | 33.8% |
| French Guiana | 1223 | 39.1% | 28.9% | 31.9% |
| Mayotte | 1216 | 40.2% | 28.9% | 31.0% |
Our probabilities carry no bookmaker margin. If a sportsbook lists higher odds for the same outcome, that side may be value. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Not betting advice.
21+ (US) / 18+ where applicable. Betting carries financial risk and is restricted by age and location. Please gamble responsibly — in the US, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
Estimates from World Football Elo ratings — for entertainment only, not betting advice. 21+/18+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
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