Lithuania

Lithuania holds a World Football Elo rating of 1279, ranking #146 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Lithuania is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Lithuania's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Lithuania vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	1.5%	98.5%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	1.6%	98.4%
France	2063	0.0%	2.2%	97.8%
England	2024	0.0%	2.7%	97.3%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	3.3%	96.7%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	3.4%	96.6%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	3.5%	96.5%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	4.3%	95.7%
Germany	1939	0.0%	4.4%	95.6%
Norway	1914	0.0%	5.0%	95.0%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	5.1%	94.9%
Japan	1910	0.0%	5.2%	94.8%

Lithuania vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Lithuania in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Ethiopia	1287	34.4%	29.0%	36.7%
New Caledonia	1286	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
Tajikistan	1285	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%
Burundi	1285	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%
Dominican Republic	1283	34.9%	29.0%	36.1%
Moldova	1270	36.8%	29.0%	34.2%
Botswana	1267	37.2%	29.0%	33.8%
Malta	1255	39.0%	28.9%	32.1%
Guinea-Bissau	1248	40.0%	28.9%	31.1%
Cuba	1239	41.3%	28.8%	29.9%