Samoa

Samoa holds a World Football Elo rating of 728, ranking #217 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Samoa is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Samoa's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Samoa vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
France	2063	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
England	2024	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.0%	99.9%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Germany	1939	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Norway	1914	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Croatia	1912	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%
Japan	1910	0.1%	0.1%	99.8%

Samoa vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Samoa in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Tuvalu	756	31.5%	28.9%	39.6%
British Virgin Islands	743	33.4%	29.0%	37.7%
Sint Eustatius	737	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Laos	734	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%
East Timor	734	34.6%	29.0%	36.4%
Mongolia	726	35.8%	29.0%	35.2%
Saint Barthelemy	725	35.9%	29.0%	35.1%
Guam	706	38.7%	28.9%	32.4%
Wallis and Futuna	699	39.7%	28.9%	31.4%
Vatican	692	40.7%	28.8%	30.4%