Vatican

Vatican holds a World Football Elo rating of 692, ranking #222 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Vatican is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Vatican's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Vatican vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Argentina	2115	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
France	2063	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
England	2024	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Portugal	1989	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Colombia	1982	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Brazil	1978	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	0.0%	99.9%
Germany	1939	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Norway	1914	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Croatia	1912	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%
Japan	1910	0.1%	0.1%	99.9%

Vatican vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Vatican in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Samoa	728	30.4%	28.8%	40.7%
Mongolia	726	30.7%	28.9%	40.4%
Saint Barthelemy	725	30.8%	28.9%	40.3%
Guam	706	33.5%	29.0%	37.5%
Wallis and Futuna	699	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
Saba	691	35.6%	29.0%	35.4%
Bahamas	685	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Saint Pierre and Miquelon	677	37.7%	29.0%	33.4%
Turks and Caicos Islands	657	40.6%	28.9%	30.6%
Anguilla	646	42.2%	28.8%	29.0%