Saint Lucia

Saint Lucia holds a World Football Elo rating of 1003, ranking #185 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Saint Lucia is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Saint Lucia's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Saint Lucia vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.1%	0.2%	99.8%
Argentina	2115	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
France	2063	0.1%	0.3%	99.6%
England	2024	0.1%	0.4%	99.5%
Portugal	1989	0.1%	0.5%	99.4%
Colombia	1982	0.1%	0.6%	99.4%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.6%	99.3%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	0.8%	99.2%
Germany	1939	0.0%	0.8%	99.1%
Norway	1914	0.0%	1.0%	99.0%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	1.0%	99.0%
Japan	1910	0.0%	1.0%	99.0%

Saint Lucia vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Saint Lucia in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Saint Martin	1042	30.0%	28.8%	41.2%
Sao Tome and Principe	1035	31.0%	28.9%	40.2%
Saint Kitts and Nevis	1029	31.8%	28.9%	39.3%
Gibraltar	1011	34.4%	29.0%	36.7%
Somaliland	1005	35.2%	29.0%	35.8%
Western Sahara	996	36.5%	29.0%	34.5%
Myanmar	984	38.3%	29.0%	32.8%
Somalia	979	39.0%	28.9%	32.1%
Aruba	978	39.1%	28.9%	31.9%
Sint Maarten	975	39.6%	28.9%	31.5%