Sao Tome and Principe

Sao Tome and Principe holds a World Football Elo rating of 1035, ranking #181 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Sao Tome and Principe is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Sao Tome and Principe's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Sao Tome and Principe vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
Argentina	2115	0.1%	0.2%	99.7%
France	2063	0.1%	0.4%	99.5%
England	2024	0.1%	0.5%	99.4%
Portugal	1989	0.1%	0.7%	99.2%
Colombia	1982	0.1%	0.7%	99.2%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.8%	99.2%
Netherlands	1944	0.0%	1.0%	99.0%
Germany	1939	0.0%	1.0%	98.9%
Norway	1914	0.0%	1.2%	98.8%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	1.3%	98.7%
Japan	1910	0.0%	1.3%	98.7%

Sao Tome and Principe vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Sao Tome and Principe in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Mauritius	1073	30.1%	28.8%	41.0%
Chad	1073	30.1%	28.8%	41.0%
Belize	1073	30.1%	28.8%	41.0%
Solomon Islands	1054	32.8%	29.0%	38.3%
Saint Martin	1042	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
Saint Kitts and Nevis	1029	36.4%	29.0%	34.6%
Gibraltar	1011	39.0%	28.9%	32.1%
Somaliland	1005	39.9%	28.9%	31.2%
Saint Lucia	1003	40.2%	28.9%	31.0%
Western Sahara	996	41.2%	28.8%	30.0%