Western Sahara

Western Sahara holds a World Football Elo rating of 996, ranking #186 of 244 national teams — among the lower-ranked national teams. Western Sahara is not among the 48 teams at the 2026 World Cup. The tables below estimate Western Sahara's win, draw, and loss probabilities using the same Elo model as the main calculator.

Western Sahara vs the world's best

Estimated result at a neutral venue against the current top-rated teams.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Spain	2129	0.1%	0.2%	99.8%
Argentina	2115	0.1%	0.2%	99.8%
France	2063	0.1%	0.3%	99.6%
England	2024	0.1%	0.4%	99.5%
Portugal	1989	0.1%	0.5%	99.4%
Colombia	1982	0.1%	0.5%	99.4%
Brazil	1978	0.1%	0.6%	99.4%
Netherlands	1944	0.1%	0.7%	99.2%
Germany	1939	0.1%	0.8%	99.2%
Norway	1914	0.0%	0.9%	99.0%
Croatia	1912	0.0%	0.9%	99.0%
Japan	1910	0.0%	1.0%	99.0%

Western Sahara vs similar-ranked teams

Closely-matched opponents near Western Sahara in the rankings.

Opponent	Elo	Win	Draw	Loss
Sao Tome and Principe	1035	30.0%	28.8%	41.2%
Saint Kitts and Nevis	1029	30.8%	28.9%	40.3%
Gibraltar	1011	33.4%	29.0%	37.7%
Somaliland	1005	34.2%	29.0%	36.8%
Saint Lucia	1003	34.5%	29.0%	36.5%
Myanmar	984	37.2%	29.0%	33.8%
Somalia	979	38.0%	29.0%	33.1%
Aruba	978	38.1%	29.0%	32.9%
Sint Maarten	975	38.5%	28.9%	32.5%
Montserrat	972	39.0%	28.9%	32.1%